The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier. The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election. With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.

Timeline

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Results

Synopsis of results

Results by region

Results by place

Target ridings

The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost. These ridings are likely to be targeted by the specified party because the party lost them by a very slim margin in the 2006 election. Up to 10 are shown, with a maximum margin of victory of 15%. No party or independent candidate, other than the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives, came within 15% of winning any seats.

• Indicates incumbent not running again. To clarify further; this is a list of provincial general election winners with their party in parentheses, and their margin as a percentage of the vote over the party whose list the seat is on (not the same as the margin of victory if the party potentially "targeting" the seat in that list did not finish second in the previous election). "Won" means that the targeting party won the seat from the incumbent party. "Held" means the incumbent party held the seat. The ridings of Moncton East, Moncton West, Restigouche-La-Vallée and Petitcodiac are also likely to be targeted by the Conservatives as all have switched to the Liberals since the 2006 election. Moncton East and Restigouche-La-Vallée were carried by the Liberals in by-elections while the MLAs for Moncton West and Petitcodiac crossed the floor from the PCs to the Liberals.

Opinion polls

Candidates

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting MLAs have announced that they will not seek re-election.

Candidates by riding

Legend

Northeast

2,453 34.42% 3,914 54.92% 524 7.35% 236 3.31% 3,631 46.53% 2,593 33.23% 1,413 18.11% 167 2.14% 3,649 49.77% 2,798 38.16% 706 9.63% 179 2.44% 2,899 44.99% 2,821 43.78% 620 9.62% 104 1.61% 1,946 32.49% 2,456 41.01% 1,476 24.65% 111 1.85% 3,663 - (50.07%) 3,041 - (41.57%) 406 - (5.55%) 206 - (2.82%) 2,304 - (31.74%) 4,272 - (58.84%) 684 - (9.42%) 4,655 - (63.85%) 1,487 - (20.40%) 1,149 - (15.76%) 1,480 - (18.96%) 3,808 - (48.78%) 2,518 - (32.26%) 2,546 - (37.36%) 2,908 - (42.67%) 1,132 - (16.61%) 93 - (1.36%) 136 - (2.00%) 3,290 - (49.62%) 2,615 - (39.44%) 510 - (7.69%) 216 - (3.26%) 2,552 - (38.56%) 3,187 - (48.16%) 379 - (5.73%) 175 - (2.64%) 325 - (4.91%) 1,952 - (30.17%) 3,792 - (58.60%) 200 - (3.09%) 204 - (3.15%) 323 - (4.99%)

Southeast

3,442 - (46.03%) 3,174 - (42.45%) 861 - (11.52%) 3,722 - (55.72%) 1,720 - (25.75%) 1,023 - (15.31%) 215 - (3.22%) 2,447 - (29.20%) 5,055 - (60.33%) 503 - (6.00%) 374 - (4.46%) 5,244 - (61.33%) 2,121 - (24.81%) 669 - (7.82%) 409 - (4.78%) 107 - (1.25%) 911 - (19.02%) 2,712 - (56.62%) 513 - (10.71%) 654 - (13.65%) 3,426 - (50.82%) 2,174 - (32.25%) 707 - (10.49%) 435 - (6.45%) 4,541 - (46.24%) 3,429 - (34.91%) 1,174 - (11.95%) 677 - (6.89%) 2,694 - (41.54%) 2,528 - (38.98%) 626 - (9.65%) 637 - (9.82%) 1,995 - (32.50%) 2,983 - (48.59%) 580 - (9.45%) 503 - (8.19%) 78 - (1.27%) 1,912 - (36.54%) 2,349 - (44.90%) 512 - (9.79%) 367 - (7.01%) 92 - (1.76%) 2,538 - (30.77%) 4,171 - (50.57%) 809 - (9.81%) 730 - (8.85%) 1,769 - (23.84%) 4,135 - (55.74%) 666 - (8.98%) 849 - (11.44%) 1,626 - (23.47%) 4,357 - (62.89%) 457 - (6.60%) 488 - (7.04%) 1,252 - (19.54%) 4,009 - (62.57%) 412 - (6.43%) 448 - (6.99%) 286 - (4.46%) - Collins won the seat in a by-election on March 5, 2007. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative former premier Bernard Lord.

• MacAlpine-Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. She previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.
• Stiles crossed the floor to the Liberals on April 17, 2007. He previously sat as a Progressive Conservative.

Southwest

1,418 - (21.14%) 4,476 - (66.73%) 487 - (7.26%) 327 - (4.87%) 1,668 - (22.28%) 4,302 - (57.47%) 1,193 - (15.93%) 323 - (4.31%) 2,752 - (34.24%) 4,075 - (50.70%) 911 - (11.33%) 300 - (3.73%) 1,736 - (30.98%) 2,913 - (51.99%) 594 - (10.60%) 187 - (3.34%) 173 - (3.09%) 1,694 - (28.40%) 3,374 - (56.57%) 535 - (8.97%) 361 - (6.05%) 1,867 - (33.06%) 2,137 - (37.84%) 1,338 - (23.69%) 305 - (5.40%) 1,326 - (30.45%) 1,333 - (30.66%) 1,203 - (27.63%) 236 - (5.45%) 247 - (5.81%) 2,062 - (35.31%) 2,926 - (50.10%) 576 - (9.86%) 192 - (3.29%) 84 - (1.44%) 2,287 - (33.81%) 3,433 - (50.75%) 688 - (10.17%) 247 - (3.65%) 110 - (1.63%) 1,815 - (28.74%) 3,633 - (57.53%) 427 - (6.76%) 222 - (3.52%) 218 - (3.45%) 3,176 - (51.27%) 2,286 - (36.90%) 305 - (4.92%) 180 - (2.91%) 248 - (4.00%) 1,516 - (24.46%) 2,980 - (48.08%) 798 - (12.88%) 500 - (8.07%) 404 - (6.52%)

Central

569 - (12.62%) 3,662 - (81.23%) 277 - (6.14%) 2,108 - (29.16%) 3,290 - (45.51%) 237 - (3.28%) 175 - (2.42%) 1,419 - (19.63%) 2,712 - (35.28%) 3,656 - (47.56%) 592 - (7.70%) 727 - (9.46%) 2,586 - (34.16%) 3,571 - (47.17%) 861 - (11.37%) 553 - (7.30%) 2,178 - (35.31%) 2,437 - (39.51%) 945 - (15.32%) 608 - (9.86%) 2,469 - (32.53%) 2,931 - (38.62%) 1,220 - (16.07%) 903 - (11.90%) 67 - (0.88%) 1,502 - (23.33%) 4,097 - (63.65%) 547 - (8.50%) 291 - (4.52%) 1,486 - (22.95%) 3,614 - (55.82%) 1,012 - (15.63%) 362 - (5.59%) 1,232 - (17.39%) 4,486 - (63.33%) 675 - (9.53%) 305 - (4.31%) 386 - (5.45%)

Northwest

710 - (10.22%) 4,673 - (67.27%) 280 - (4.03%) 103 - (1.48%) 996 - (14.34%) David Kennedy (PANB) 185 - (2.66%) 1,711 - (27.17%) 3,884 - (61.67%) 319 - (5.07%) 384 - (6.10%) 2,039 - (40.05%) 2,684 - (52.72%) 109 - (2.14%) 118 - (2.32%) 141 - (2.77%) 2,715 - (43.60%) 3,058 - (49.11%) 292 - (4.69%) 162 - (2.60%) 2,492 - (35.72%) 3,727 - (53.43%) 551 - (7.90%) 206 - (2.95%) 1,362 - (18.60%) 5,551 - (75.81%) 226 - (3.09%) 183 - (2.50%) 1,989 - (31.85%) 3,380 - (54.13%) 230 - (3.68%) 645 - (10.33%)